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前の投稿 - 次の投稿 | 親投稿 - 子投稿なし | 投稿日時 2019-1-11 10:41
vv1122365  長老   投稿数: 663
California Chrome is the 3-5 morning line favorite to become the 12th Triple Crown winner in racing history. However, the last seven odds-on Belmont Stakes favorites have failed to win and complete the magnificent feat. You can watch the Belmont Stakes on TSN this Saturday, with coverage beginning at 2:30pm et/11:30am pt. One has to go all the way back to 1978 when Affirmed held off Alydar at 3-5 to find the last odds-on betting choice to grab hold of the final leg of horse racings Triple Crown. In fact, Affirmed was the fourth straight odds-on winner following the footsteps of Seattle Slew (2-5), Bold Forbes (4-5) and Secretariat (1-9). Between the years 1958 and 1971, only one of eight odds-on betting favorites in the Belmont came home on top - Damascus (4-5) in 1967. Finally, half of the first 14 odds-on choices crossed the wire first. Overall, this type of favorite holds just 12 victories in 33 overall starts. It must be mentioned that there were two odds-on choices in 1957. Gallant Man (19-20) crossed the wire first while Bold Ruler (17-20) finished third. The bottom line is there have been only 12 winners out of 32 races since mutuels began in New York in 1940. Thats a 37.5 percent winning percentage. Moreover, of the 19 horses in line for the Triple Crown sweep, just six came home victorious. That amounts to a 33 percent winning percentage. Five of the Kentucky Derby-Preakness winners ran second in the Belmont Stakes with Real Quiet (4-5 in 1998) coming the closest, losing by a nose to Victory Gallop. The four others were Pensive (1-2 in 1944), Tim Tam (3-20 in 1958), Sunday Silence (4-5 in 1989) and Smarty Jones (2-5 in 2004). Three more finished third - Northern Dancer (4-5 in 1964), Spectacular Bid (1-5 in 1979) and Pleasant Colony (4-5 in 1981). Five finished off the board, including Big Brown (2008) - the last horse vying for the Triple Crown that ran in the Belmont (Ill Have Another in 2012 was injured and did not race in the final leg). There also is another key factor that plays against California Chrome and that is field size. The six Triple Crown winners between 1941 and 1978 won the Belmont Stakes against a combined 27 other horses, which amounts to an average of 3.5 horses per race. The 13 horses that failed to win the Triple Crown had 110 challengers, which means those colts ran against an average of 8.5 horses per race. This year, the Belmont Stakes has a field of 11, which ties for the second- most entrants behind the 1971 edition when Canonero II finished fourth at 3-5. The 1966, 1981 and 1998 renewals also had 10 other horses competing against odds-on Derby-Preakness winners Kauai King, Pleasant Colony and Real Quiet, respectively. All three of those horses lost the Belmont Stakes. California Chrome is by far the most talented member of this 3-year-old crop. He owns tremendous tactical speed, which should place him on or just off the early lead. Only Samraat and Tonalist, and to a less extent, General a Rod, have decent gate speed, so jockey Victor Espinoza will not have much of a crowd in front of him. We will see if the colt is good enough to overcome what so many have failed to accomplish over the last 36 years. THE PRETENDERS There are two horses that have no business being in the race - Matterhorn and Matuszak. The former has not won since last November while the latter hasnt won since September. Three other colts have better bodies of work than that pair but should still finish off the board. They are General a Rod, Commissioner and Samraat. General a Rod has the pedigree to be successful at the 1 1/2-mile distance, but he sure does not run like it. It is true he had a terrible trip in the Preakness, but dont look for any improvement from a horse that might not have been entered in the Belmont if his stablemate, Intense Holiday, did not come down with an injury. Commissioner showed more speed in the Peter Pan than he ever had before, but that may have occurred due to the sloppy Belmont surface that day. An argument could be made that a horse not expected to vie for the early lead could jump up and do so and this colt might be the one. Either on the pace or off, dont expect the Todd Pletcher-trained 3-year-old to be around when the true running begins. Samraat ran a very good fifth in the Kentucky Derby - his second straight loss after opening with five wins in his first five outings. His breeding does not suggest he will appreciate the added distance, so it is best to side with others. INTRIGUING POSSIBILITIES Commanding Curve comes into the Belmont Stakes off a second-place finish to California Chrome in the Kentucky Derby. He is one of four horses in the field to have run in the Derby and pass the Preakness. Commanding Curve also had the easiest of trips in the first leg of the Triple Crown, unlike a few others entered in the Belmont. The son of Master Command has been training well and certainly is a horse to use in the exotics. However, he is doubtful to cross the wire first. Ride On Curlin represents the closest finisher to California Chrome considering the latter has strung together six consecutive victories. Nevertheless, the Belmont Stakes will be Ride On Curlins fourth race in the last eight weeks and that might be too much, especially on the heels of a 1 1/2-mile event. THE FINAL FOUR Filling out the final spot in the superfecta will be Tonalist. The Peter Pan winner has done nothing wrong as a 3-year-old, winning two of three starts with a second to Florida Derby winner Constitution in his only other race - an allowance event on a speed-favoring Gulfstream Park track. Three main reasons why he wont hit the board are: 1. his lack of experience (four career races), 2. he will be on the pace and will use too much energy trying to square off with California Chrome, and 3. breaking from the No. 11 post position will make for a longer trip into the first turn. Medal Count ran a very good eighth in the Kentucky Derby considering Danza cut him off approaching the eighth-pole. His momentum was completely stopped and he still finished less than two lengths from finishing fourth. The Dale Romans-trained son of Dynaformer not only should love the 12 furlongs, but he also has been working well at Churchill Downs. Finally, he has had five weeks off after racing three times in a month. That leaves California Chrome and Wicked Strong as the two most probable winners. Not surprisingly, they are the top two choices on the morning line. Wicked Strong has been working out on the Belmont training track, but he is one of only three horses in the field with a win over the main track (Samraat and Tonalist are the other two). The fourth-place Derby finisher broke poorly from the far outside post position on the first Saturday in May and was caught very wide going into the first turn. He eventually closed from 14th to a fourth-place finish at the wire. A better trip is expected on Saturday. Its been 36 years since Affirmed last won the last Triple Crown. Among the horses that have failed have been speed types (Smarty Jones, War Emblem and Sunday Silence), stalkers (Big Brown, Funny Cide, Silver Charm and Spectacular Bid), middle movers (Real Quiet and Charismatic) and closers (Pleasant Colony and Alysheba). California Chrome falls into the first category. If the pace is slow, he might be on the lead. If not, look for him to sit a couple lengths off, as he did in the first two Triple Crown races. A victory on Saturday will put to rest all the talk of having to alter either the distances or the span of time in between the three races. A loss and the discussions will ignite once again. Will he win? That is the million dollar question. Is he a good bet to cross the wire first at odds-on? History says no. THE BELMONT WAGER This will be a winning season regardless of what happens since the $50 wager on the California Chrome-Ride On Curlin exacta came through for a cool $455 return. With a mythical $100 Belmont Stakes wager, bet $35 on a Wicked Strong- California Chrome exacta and $30 the other way. In addition, bet $15 on a California Chrome-Medal Count exacta and $10 the other way. And just in case the favorite fails to fire, use Wicked Strong and Medal Count in a $5 exacta box. Jordan 4 For Sale Nz . - Jayden Hart scored once and set up two more as the Prince Albert Raiders downed the host Red Deer Rebels 5-3 on Tuesday to clinch the final Western Hockey League playoff berth. Cheap Air Jordan 4 Nz . The club announced Friday that Mauro Biello will be kept on as an assistant to coach Jesse Marsch when the Impact join the MLS in 2012. http://www.airjordan4nz.com/ . As the Winnipeg Blue Bombers opened their main training camp Sunday, Kuale is one of the newcomers brought in to bolster a sagging defence that ranked overall where the Bombers finished 2013, in the CFL cellar with a league high 585 points against. Cheap Authentic Jordan 4 .J. -- Pitcher Carl Pavano is retiring after 14 major league seasons. Air Jordan 4 Nz .com) - There may be a debate in Philadelphia about who should be the starting quarterback of the Eagles.Melbourne, Australia (SportsNetwork.com) - Former champions Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal and three-time runner-up Andy Murray were among Mondays opening- round winners at the Australian Open. The second-seeded former world No. 1 Federer handled Taiwans Yen-Hsun Lu 6-4, 6-2, 7-5, while the third-seeded former top-ranked star Nadal whipped Russian Mikhail Youzhny 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 at Melbourne Park. The 17-time Grand Slam king Federer is a four-time Aussie Open winner and was also a runner-up to Nadal in 2009, the year Nadal claimed his lone championship in Melbourne, where the Spaniard, himself, was also a runner-up in 2012 and last year. Federer hasnt titled here since 2010, while Nadal was stunned by Stan Wawrinka in last years Aussie finale. Federers second-round opponent will be Italian Simone Bolelli. A finalist in his last two trips to Melbourne, the 14-time major titlist Nadal played just his second match of 2015 on Monday. He lost in the first round in Doha two weeks ago, coming off a lengthy layoff thanks to a series of physical problems, including a wrist injury. At the end you know that you are not going to be at your 100 percent, so the most important thing when you are coming back is accept all the challenges, the weeks, months, that you didnt have the chance to be able to practice, to compete, said Nadal, who also had surgery late last season to remove his appendix. Just accept every situation. Accept that youre going to be a little slow, a little out of rhythm. Up next for Nadal will be American Tim Smyczek. The sixth-seeded Murray took care of Indias Yuki Bhambri 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 (7-3). The two-time Grand Slam champion Murray reached Aussie finals in 2010, 2011 and 2013. Murrays second-round opponent will be Aussie Marinko Matosevic. Noo.dddddddddddd 7 seed Tomas Berdych beat Colombian Alejandro Falla 6-3, 7-6 (7-1), 6-3, while 10th seed Grigor Dimitrov whipped German Dustin Brown 6-2, 6-3, 6-2 and upstart Aussie Thanasi Kokkinakis upset 11th-seeded Latvian Ernests Gulbis 5-7, 6-0, 1-6, 7-6 (7-2), 8-6. Fourteenth-seeded South African Kevin defeated Argentine Diego Schwartzman 7-6 (7-5), 7-5, 5-7, 6-4, while 15th-seeded Spaniard Tommy Robredo was ahead 3-2 in the first set against Frenchman Edouard Roger-Vasselin before retiring from the match. In some other action involving seeds, No. 20 Belgian David Goffin topped American Michael Russell 6-3, 6-3, 5-7, 6-0; No. 22 German Philipp Kohlschreiber drilled Frenchman Paul-Henri Mathieu 6-2, 6-2, 6-1; No. 23 Croat Ivo Karlovic mauled Belgian Ruben Bemelmans 6-4, 6-2, 6-4; and No. 24 Frenchman Richard Gasquet dismissed Argentine Carlos Berlocq 6-1, 6-3, 6-1. Other seeded victors on opening day were No. 26 Argentine Leonardo Mayer, No. 28 Czech Lukas Rosol, No. 29 Frenchman Jeremy Chardy, and No. 32 Slovak Martin Klizan. Also moving on were former Aussie runner-up Marcos Baghdatis and Aussies Nick Kyrgios, Bernard Tomic, Sam Groth and James Duckworth. On Tuesday, first-round matches will come for world No. 1 Novak Djokovic and the reigning Aussie champ Stan Wawrinka. Djokovic will take on Slovenian Aljaz Bedene, while Wawrinka will meet Turk Marsel Ilhan. The seven-time major titlist Djokovic is the reigning Wimbledon champion who has captured four Aussie Open crowns, while Wawrinka is seeking a second straight title in Melbourne. Also on the Day 2 schedule are fifth-seeded U.S. Open runner-up Kei Nishikori, eighth-seeded Canadian slugger Milos Raonic and ninth-seeded former Roland Garros runner-up David Ferrer. China NFL Jerseys Cheap Nike NFL Jerseys NFL Jerseys Cheap Wholesale NFL Jerseys Cheap Basketball Jerseys Online Stitched Hockey Jerseys Wholesale Baseball Jerseys Football Jerseys Outlet College Jerseys For Sale Cheap MLB Jerseys Wholesale Soccer Jerseys Wholesale Jerseys For Sale Wholesale NFL Jerseys ' ' '
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